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11 Oct · 23:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1518
3-0Final setsMarud won
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1481
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Urban.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 47% → final 99%
Wojciech Urban ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsMarud recovered from 36%56 points · 3 games