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12 Oct · 00:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1442
1-3Final setsGuzik won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1567
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 63%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 33% → final 8%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 35 pts72 points · 4 games