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12 Oct · 00:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1518
3-2Final setsMarud won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1379
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 67%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 65% → final 87%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsMarud recovered from 32%72 points · 5 games