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12 Oct · 02:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1518
2-3Final setsGumulinski won
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 51%. The actual result was Piotr Gumulinski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Set handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gumulinski.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 45% → final 23%
Piotr Gumulinski ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsGumulinski recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games