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12 Oct · 02:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1432
0-3Final setsSlosarczyk won
PSPawel Slosarczyk
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1426
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 60%. The actual result was Pawel Slosarczyk 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Set handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Baron −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Pawel Slosarczyk.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 57% → final 0%
Pawel Slosarczyk ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsSlosarczyk recovered from 39%49 points · 3 games