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12 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1662
2-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1577
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 60%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 78.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 57% → final 36%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsWisniewski recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games