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12 Oct · 04:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DMDariusz Maszczynski
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1239
3-0Final setsMaszczynski won
TPTomasz Przebierala
🇵🇱Tomasz Przebierala
ELO 1188
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Maszczynski at 50%. The actual result was Dariusz Maszczynski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomasz Przebierala favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 73.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tomasz Przebierala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomasz Przebierala −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Maszczynski is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Przebierala.

▲ Dariusz Maszczynskipre 46% → final 100%
Tomasz Przebierala ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts50 points · 3 games