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12 Oct · 05:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1528
3-2Final setsMarud won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1355
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 67%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 73.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 65% → final 92%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsMarud recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games