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12 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1301
2-3Final setsSobel won
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1597
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 78%. The actual result was Artur Sobel 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Bartlomiej Wisniewski — profile →Artur Sobel — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Sobel favoured — closing 1.15
Favourite won
Total 70.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Sobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Sobel −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Artur Sobel.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 18% → final 7%
Artur Sobel ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsSobel recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games