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12 Oct · 06:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1649
1-3Final setsSklensky won
MSMiroslav Sklensky
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1722
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sklensky at 54%. The actual result was Miroslav Sklensky 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslav Sklensky favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 72.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslav Sklensky −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Miroslav Sklensky −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Miroslav Sklensky.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 49% → final 10%
Miroslav Sklensky ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 4 games