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12 Oct · 07:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1464
3-2Final setsWolny won
DMDariusz Maszczynski
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1239
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wolny at 73%. The actual result was Michal Wolny 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Wolny favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 71.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Wolny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Wolny −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Wolny is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Maszczynski.

▲ Michal Wolnypre 72% → final 82%
Dariusz Maszczynski ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsWolny recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games