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12 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1649
1-3Final setsKapik won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1626
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 52%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 78.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 49% → final 5%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsKapik recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games