12 Oct · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1490
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fomin
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1435
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)