12 Oct · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1722
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sklensky
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1649
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H48-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-13)