12 Oct · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JL
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1539
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1597
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
🌟Lamperski stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)