12 Oct · 11:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MJ
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1489
FormLWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Jozefiak
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1366
FormLLLLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Jozefiak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)