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12 Oct · 10:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PMPatryk Mecik
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1371
1-3Final setsTobiasz won
WTWojciech Tobiasz
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1386
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tobiasz at 51%. The actual result was Wojciech Tobiasz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tobiasz favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tobiasz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tobiasz −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Mecik is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Tobiasz.

▲ Patryk Mecikpre 53% → final 1%
Wojciech Tobiasz ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsTobiasz recovered from 34%64 points · 4 games