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12 Oct · 11:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1639
1-3Final setsMitas won
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1601
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 55%. The actual result was Jacek Mitas 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mitas favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mitas −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mitas −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Jacek Mitas.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 59% → final 98%
Jacek Mitas ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 30%72 points · 4 games