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12 Oct · 12:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1639
3-1Final setsPoliniewicz won
JZJakub Zochniak
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1617
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 73.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Poliniewicz −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Zochniak.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 47% → final 98%
Jakub Zochniak ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 27%66 points · 4 games