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12 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1635
3-1Final setsCzerwinski won
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1589
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 53%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Artur Sobel.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 57% → final 100%
Artur Sobel ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts55 points · 3 games