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12 Oct · 16:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PMPatryk Mecik
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1362
3-2Final setsMecik won
WTWojciech Tobiasz
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1375
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tobiasz at 52%. The actual result was Patryk Mecik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Tobiasz favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Tobiasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Tobiasz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Mecik is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Tobiasz.

▲ Patryk Mecikpre 51% → final 1%
Wojciech Tobiasz ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsTobiasz recovered from 35%64 points · 4 games