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12 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MWMiroslaw Warzecha
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1653
2-3Final setsGesiarz won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1508
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warzecha at 67%. The actual result was Piotr Gesiarz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Miroslaw Warzecha favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 74.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Miroslaw Warzecha −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Warzecha is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Miroslaw Warzechapre 72% → final 13%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsGesiarz recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games