12 Oct · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1653
FormLWWWW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Warzecha
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1246
FormLWWLW
86%
14%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 88% · 1.13· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~71 pts
3-0
43%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+407
H2H37-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+407)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-9)