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12 Oct · 19:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1330
3-1Final setsZwolinski won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1336
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Szoltysek favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Szoltysek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Szoltysek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 44% → final 89%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsZwolinski recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games