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12 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ASAdam Staniczek
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1378
3-2Final setsStaniczek won
DMDariusz Maszczynski
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1243
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniczek at 64%. The actual result was Adam Staniczek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Staniczek favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 74.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adam Staniczek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adam Staniczek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Staniczek is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Maszczynski.

▲ Adam Staniczekpre 62% → final 80%
Dariusz Maszczynski ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts72 points · 5 games