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12 Oct · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1519
3-2Final setsOracz won
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1519
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 53%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 76.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gumulinski.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 43% → final 2%
Piotr Gumulinski ▼
Biggest swing 91 ptsGumulinski recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games