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12 Oct · 20:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BKBartosz Kwodawski
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1385
3-0Final setsKwodawski won
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1330
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kwodawski at 54%. The actual result was Bartosz Kwodawski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Kwodawski favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 77.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartosz Kwodawski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartosz Kwodawski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Kwodawski is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Zwolinski.

▲ Bartosz Kwodawskipre 51% → final 98%
Mariusz Zwolinski ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts55 points · 3 games