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12 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1519
3-2Final setsOracz won
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1517
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 51%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Marud.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 45% → final 50%
Grzegorz Marud ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsOracz recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games