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12 Oct · 20:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1517
1-3Final setsKurek won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 54%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 77.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 51% → final 5%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsKurek recovered from 34%66 points · 4 games