12 Oct · 23:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1509
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kurek
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1460
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 64% (61)
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H13-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)