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12 Oct · 23:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1335
3-1Final setsSzoltysek won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1296
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 53%. The actual result was Artur Szoltysek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Szoltysek favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Szoltysek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Artur Szoltysek −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 57% → final 96%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsSzoltysek recovered from 41%69 points · 4 games