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13 Oct · 00:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1517
3-1Final setsGumulinski won
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1518
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 52%. The actual result was Piotr Gumulinski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gumulinski is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Oracz.

▲ Piotr Gumulinskipre 44% → final 89%
Lukasz Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsGumulinski recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games