13 Oct · 03:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1510
FormWLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1662
FormWWWLW
34%
66%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (48)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H48-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-16)