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13 Oct · 03:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1525
3-1Final setsMarud won
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1489
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 53%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 76.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Oracz.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 57% → final 99%
Lukasz Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsMarud recovered from 29%71 points · 4 games