13 Oct · 06:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1367
FormWWLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lamperski
JL
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1520
FormWWLLL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Lamperski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)