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13 Oct · 03:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1509
3-1Final setsKurek won
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1471
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 54%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Urban.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 51% → final 90%
Wojciech Urban ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsKurek recovered from 41%72 points · 4 games