13 Oct · 06:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1597
FormWLWWL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Sobel
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1328
FormLLLLL
77%
23%
🌟Kowalczyk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (41)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+269
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+269)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)