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13 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JKJakub Kuzmicz
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1828
1-3Final setsMiastowski won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1791
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kuzmicz at 56%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksymilian Miastowski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kuzmicz is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Jakub Kuzmiczpre 53% → final 6%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsMiastowski recovered from 17%72 points · 4 games