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13 Oct · 05:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1378
3-2Final setsKaczmarek won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1345
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kaczmarek at 52%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kaczmarek favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 74.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 49% → final 98%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games