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13 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1628
0-3Final setsMiastowski won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1791
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 65%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksymilian Miastowski favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 74.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 37% → final 0%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts54 points · 3 games