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13 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1520
3-2Final setsPaszkiewicz won
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1499
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 50%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Paszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Adam Ruszkiewicz.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 46% → final 77%
Adam Ruszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsPaszkiewicz recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games