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DeuceLab
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13 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1442
1-3Final setsKaczmarek won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1378
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 59%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Adamus favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 76.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pawel Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Adamus −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Adamus is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Pawel Adamuspre 63% → final 13%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games