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13 Oct · 07:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MSMiroslav Sklensky
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1728
2-3Final setsMiastowski won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1791
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 64%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksymilian Miastowski favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 73.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslav Sklensky is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Miroslav Sklenskypre 38% → final 4%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsMiastowski recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games