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13 Oct · 08:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DKDaniel Kostal
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1550
0-3Final setsMiastowski won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1791
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 75%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksymilian Miastowski favoured — closing 1.2
Favourite won
Total 70.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −9.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Kostal is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Daniel Kostalpre 20% → final 2%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 34 pts59 points · 3 games