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← TT Elite Series predictions
13 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1343
3-0Final setsKowalczyk won
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1294
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 53%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Miroslaw Piecowski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 50% → final 98%
Miroslaw Piecowski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 38%54 points · 3 games