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13 Oct · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1520
3-2Final setsPaszkiewicz won
KHKrzysztof Hetnar
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1644
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Hetnar at 65%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Hetnar favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 73.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Hetnar.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 30% → final 74%
Krzysztof Hetnar ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsPaszkiewicz recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games