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13 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1466
1-3Final setsSkotniczny won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1649
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 69%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 73.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 33% → final 7%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 28 pts67 points · 4 games