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13 Oct · 09:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MJMichal Jozefiak
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1442
1-3Final setsSkotniczny won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1649
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 70%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 73.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Jozefiak is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Michal Jozefiakpre 32% → final 1%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSkotniczny recovered from 43%66 points · 4 games