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13 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDaniel Kostal
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1550
3-2Final setsKostal won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1791
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 76%. The actual result was Daniel Kostal 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksymilian Miastowski favoured — closing 1.2
Upset
Total 70.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Kostal is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Daniel Kostalpre 20% → final 2%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 33 pts59 points · 3 games