13 Oct · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1649
FormWWWLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Skotniczny
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1459
FormWWWWW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)